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Britain to widen sanctions on Russia, calls Ukraine invasion plans 'highly likely' - The Washington Post

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As Russia continues to mass forces on its border with Ukraine, top Russian and U.S. diplomats are likely to meet next week in an effort to defuse the widening crisis, a senior State Department official said on Sunday.

Referring to written responses Washington and NATO delivered last week to the Kremlin’s demands for security guarantees, Victoria Nuland, the undersecretary of state for political affairs, told CBS News’ “Face the Nation:” “We’ve heard some signs that the Russians are interested in engaging on that proposal. Including the fact that Secretary [of State Antony] Blinken and [Russian] Foreign Minister [Sergei] Lavrov will likely speak this week.”

The two officials met earlier this month in Geneva but failed to resolve their countries’ differences over Ukraine, where leaders have sought to tamp down U.S. warnings of an imminent Russian invasion and avoid a public panic.

“We want to settle these issues through diplomacy,” Nuland said. Russian President Vladmir has "given himself that option, but he’s also given himself the option of a major invasion. So we have to be ready for that.”

Senior U.S. lawmakers also said Sunday that they are optimistic about bipartisan agreement on punishing sanctions against Russia.

“I believe that we will get there,” Sen. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.), the chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, told CNN’s “State of the Union.”

“We have been working in good faith,” he said. “We’ve been accommodating different views and we are committed, jointly, in a bipartisan way to defend Ukraine and to send Putin the message: it’ll be bluntly and consequential.”

Officials and politicians on Jan. 30 emphasized the threat posed by Russia to Ukraine warning of "devastating consequences" should an invasion take place. (Zach Purser Brown/The Washington Post)

James E. Risch (Id.), the committee’s top Republican, said the two parties had hit a sticking point over the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, but indicated that the differences were surmountable.

“We’ve had a disagreement on that, continuing disagreement, since the administration took office,” Risch said. But he said that Germany’s decision to halt certification of the pipeline, which could pump billions of cubic meters of Russian gas into Europe, had “changed the dynamics and open the door, really, for us to reach agreement.”

Menendez added that some sanctions could be approved before a Russian invasion of Ukraine, a measure that Ukraine’s ambassador to the United States, Oksana Markarova, said her government supports.

“We ask [for] both” before and after a Russian attack, Markarova told “Face the Nation.” She said that Russia had already invaded Ukraine in 2014, when it annexed Crimea. “And they didn’t change the behavior during the eight years. So, yes, we believe the basis for sanctions is there.”

Responding to U.S. concerns that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was downplaying the threat of an imminent Russian invasion, Markarova said that leaders didn’t want to panic Ukrainian citizens.

“We are not downplaying the risk. We actually see the situation the same way and we see the build up,” she said.

“To defend our country, we cannot afford to panic. We have to get ready, all of us, not only our military, our very capable military and veterans, but also all civilians. So we know and we see what is going on,” Markarova added.

Britain’s foreign secretary said Sunday the United Kingdom would “widen” its sanctions on the Kremlin to include “companies involved in propping up the Russian state,” as Washington and its allies intensified their efforts to deter a possible invasion .

The comments by Foreign Secretary Liz Truss came a day after Britain said it was preparing to send extra land, air and sea forces to Eastern Europe to support NATO allies.

Truss, asked about Putin’s intentions during an interview with the BBC on Sunday, said it was “highly likely that he is looking” to invade Ukraine. “That is why we are doing all we can through deterrence and diplomacy to urge him to desist. That’s why we are strengthening our sanctions regime here in the United Kingdom. We’re going to be introducing new legislation so that we can hit targets including those who are key to the Kremlin’s continuation and the continuation of the Russian regime.”

In a separate interview with Sky News, Truss did not rule out the possibility that the sanctions could include seizures of property in London owned by Russian “oligarchs.” She said “nothing is off the table.”

The head of Russia’s Security Council, Nikolai Patrushev on Sunday dismissed U.S. warnings that Russia could attack Ukraine as “absolutely ridiculous” and said Russia did not want war.

The British military commitment comes after President Biden said Friday he planned to send some U.S. troops to Eastern Europe to bolster NATO allies, describing the number as “not too many.” The U.S. military has issued “prepare to deploy” orders to 8,500 personnel.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said Saturday that deploying more British forces to the region, including jets, warships and military specialists, would “send a clear message to the Kremlin — we will not tolerate their destabilizing activity, and we will always stand with our NATO allies in the face Russian hostility.”

Johnson is expected to speak to Russian President Vladimir Putin this week and will visit the region in coming days.

Details of the U.K. offer — including a potential doubling of troop numbers in the region — will be finalized with NATO officials this week. The British aircraft carrier HMS Prince of Wales has been put on standby “to move within hours should tensions rise,” the government statement said.

Tobias Ellwood, chair of a House of Commons defense committee, said the tensions in Ukraine are “our Cuban missile crisis moment, and we must not blink.”

“From a Russian perspective, there’s never been a better time to invade Ukraine — something Putin has been wanting to do for a long time,” Ellwood told British broadcaster Sky News on Saturday. “He’s enjoying this international attention.”

Russia has repeatedly denied that its massive buildup of troops and military equipment around Ukraine, along with a wave of military exercises, is a precursor to a renewed assault.

“Today, they’re saying that Russia is threatening Ukraine. This is absolutely ridiculous. There is no threat,” Patrushev, the head of Russia’s Security Council, said Sunday at a wreath-laying ceremony at a cemetery.

“We do not want war. We don’t need it at all. Those who are pushing toward it, especially those from the West, they are pursuing some self-serving false goals of their own,” he said, adding that war against Ukraine “does not suit us.”

While debate rages over Moscow’s plans, many Russia-based analysts say the Kremlin’s military maneuvers may be brinkmanship designed to drive up pressure and extract concessions from the United States and NATO on Russia’s demand that Ukraine and other countries be barred from ever joining the Western alliance. Lavrov said on state television Sunday that it was clear to everyone that Ukraine was “not ready” to join NATO, because it would not strengthen the alliance. If Ukraine was ever admitted, this would destroy Russia-NATO relations, he warned.

Russian officials are reviewing U.S. and NATO counterproposals on security, submitted last week in answer to Russia’s earlier demands to limit NATO military activity in the former Soviet sphere. Russia has demanded that Ukraine and other former Soviet states be barred from joining the Western military alliance.

Lavrov on Friday described the NATO response as “ideologically motivated” and “permeated with its exceptional role and special mission.”

Western officials have warned that a Russian invasion, potentially similar to its 2014 annexation of Crimea, could come at any time. U.S. intelligence, relying in part on satellite imagery, has found that Russia is massing forces around Ukraine in support of a potential multi-front incursion.

Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, said at a news conference Friday that the evidence of an imminent invasion was insufficient, accusing his Western counterparts of inciting “panic.”

Asked about Zelensky’s complaints on Sunday, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the U.S. envoy to the United Nations, said the Biden administration has been trying to ensure that Ukraine is “prepared” in the event of an attack.

“We’ve seen the Russian playbook before,” she said. “They are using disinformation. They’re encouraging Ukrainians not to worry about an attack. But we know that the attack is possible. You don’t amass 100,000 troops if you don’t have intentions to use them,” she said during an appearance on ABC’s “This Week.”

A diplomatic resolution to the crisis would need to include “Russia pulling troops back and coming to the diplomatic table and taking with U.S., Ukrainians NATO allies about security concerns,” Thomas-Greenfield said.

“We’ve made clear that we’re prepared to address our concerns, Ukrainian concerns and Russian concerns,” she said. “But it cannot be done on the battlefield.”

Even the Ukrainian leader downplayed the threat of an invasion, though thousands of civilians across the country are training for the worst. Army reservists — some armed only with wooden replica weapons or those they’ve obtained on their own — receive basic combat training and in a time of war would be under direct command of the Ukrainian military.

Ukrainian citizens also have been trading advice about preparing for war on social media, including under the hashtag #миготові (#weareready).

The United States has requested a meeting of the United Nations Security Council on Monday to discuss Russia’s military buildup, as it pushes for a diplomatic solution to the standoff. Moscow has described the meeting as a “PR stunt,” but U.N. diplomats expressed confidence that any Russian bid to stop the meeting would be voted down, Reuters reported.

Biden is also due to meet Monday with Qatar’s emir Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad al-Thani as U.S. officials work to shore up alternative energy supplies for Europe, which relies on Russian natural gas exports, in the event Moscow responds to potential sanctions by cutting off supplies.

Amy Wang in Washington contributed to this report.

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